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Is being "predictable" a justifiable reason to lower an anime score?

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Jun 14, 2016 3:26 PM
#1

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So I just finished Shokugeki no Souma and I thought it was reasonably good, not worthy of the hate some people give it. But a major problem I had with it was that alot of the "food battles" were very predictable. I was talking to a certain user about this, and he claimed that predictability was not a valid reason to critique an anime.

On the one hand, I see where he's coming from. If you're just judging on enjoyment alone, does predictability matter all that much ? He used this analogy:
"If justin bieber got in a ring with mike tyson, it'd be a predictable fight
I'm sure it'd be a fucking blast to watch though"

On the other hand, predictability signifies something is wrong. It usually means the show either lacks innovation or lacks subtlety in it's writing, which I beleive are very valid reasons to critique an anime. What does MAL think?

TLDR; Is being "predictable" a justifiable reason to lower an anime score?
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Jun 14, 2016 3:31 PM
#2

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Some people like seeing predictable events come into play.

I can understand why people would dislike it and I can understand why people like it.

I'm sort of in the middle. Mild predictability in a direction I like isn't bad.

To an extent predictability also shows genericness so there's that going against it
Jun 14, 2016 3:35 PM
#3

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I personally view unpredictability to be a good thing. Anime where the characters can afford to lose such as Aikatsu and Yama no Susume are interesting to watch as it is less predictable. Some anime like Death Note and Fullmetal Alchemist can be even more interesting as the stakes are higher, but that doesn't always mean they aren't predictable.
Jun 14, 2016 3:37 PM
#4

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if that anime is a mystery or thriller
then yes i will give it a shitty score for being predictable
Jun 14, 2016 3:41 PM
#5

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I think it's generally good to be a bit unpredictable. Being too predictable makes a show feel stale, but being too unpredictable makes the show feel like utter chaos.

Its good to strike a balance between familiarity and unfamiliarity to keep interest. However, people are not always as perceptive as others and sometimes foreshadowing either goes unnoticed or is too obvious. Basically, it's up to the individual.

Sometimes though, I just don't care. A show can be really predictable in terms of plot but still make the journey entertaining enough to keep me watching. Souma in particular was like this for me.
MachinaePrimeJun 14, 2016 5:56 PM
Jun 14, 2016 3:45 PM
#6

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I don't think so. Tbh, being predictable sometime makes the anime even more enjoyable.

So, Nope
Jun 14, 2016 3:46 PM
#7

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I think I'll make a new thread "Is everything that we ever find wrong with anime EVER wrong? Even though its universally considered wrong?"
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Jun 14, 2016 3:46 PM
#8

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Well, if the score is based in enjoyment, how much the predictability hurted your enjoyment?
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Jun 14, 2016 3:49 PM
#9

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I think so. If an anime does nothing innovative in its genre for the sake of being a safe, decent enough anime I don't tend to score it as high as the older {genre} anime that introduced the tropes the new {genre} anime use to death to be ok at best.

So yeah, for the sake of not having to watch the same yet slightly different anime 30 times in the future because there might not be anything else (which is a grossly exaggerated worst case scenario), I'm very much in favour of scoring and supporting anime based on their predictability and originality.
Jun 14, 2016 3:50 PM

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daAmazinFatB0y said:
I think I'll make a new thread "Is everything that we ever find wrong with anime EVER wrong? Even though its universally considered wrong?"

Apparantly its not universally considered wrong. Just look at the number of opinions given in such a small amount of posts?
Jun 14, 2016 3:54 PM
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Only if it's a mystery, then it's actually good to lower the score. Mysteries should have unpredictable endings. But if it's a simple action series and you expected some big plot twist that never came, yet it had a decent ending, it's better to not get upset over it.
Jun 14, 2016 3:58 PM

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I would say mostly no. For the example given in particular it's about a highly competitive school where only 1% of people are allowed to pass. So that being said it would come off as fairly predictable in the sense that the main character would primarily be victorious or at least very high ranking. That's just required for the series to continue, you could call it a necessary evil or simply a standard story telling method, but I wouldn't say it makes it any better or worse.
In general though I think it comes down to the individual, whether you're in it for the journey or the destination.
Ie. If you were watching say Fullmetal Alchemist and just consistently growing impatient that they haven't gotten their bodies back, despite knowing that they will eventually or die trying. In that case you would be in it for the destination so you would be looking for a more satisfying conclusion than build up.
(The more common examples of this would be the most likely troll variations "Why hasn't Luffy found the One Piece yet?" or "Why hasn't Conan gotten his old body back yet?")
Quick Edit: Another example of predictability that is very common in story telling though in shows, games, etc. like 95% of the time will follow the worst case scenario presented, with the conclusion being the characters overcoming it. I wouldn't say it makes those shows particularly worse as it's just a common trend of "How far can we push this before we can't figure out how to get back?"
GamerDLMJun 14, 2016 4:11 PM
Jun 14, 2016 4:01 PM

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I like to be surprised, so for me, it's usually a yes.
Jun 14, 2016 4:06 PM

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Every reason is a justifiable reason to lower your score if that reason bothered you.
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Jun 14, 2016 4:09 PM

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TBH if you cant predict most anime you are either stupid or brain dead. Those who think they are smart and lower their scores because they werent surprised and usually the dumb ones.
Jun 14, 2016 4:11 PM

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This question is heavily reliant on the genre of the series, mystery and thriller would be a massive red light (Erased). But if it's slice-of-life or comedy and whatever it would be acceptable to some extent however like most people I prefer innovative and unpredictable approaches.
LordoftheHorizonJun 14, 2016 4:14 PM
Jun 14, 2016 4:11 PM

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obligatory "it's all subjective answer."
every single one of my forum posts is dumb and invalid except for 1, I don't claim them it was a different person it was all fake
Jun 14, 2016 4:14 PM

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Yes and No. It depends on many factors, namely which elements were predictable, and was the predictablity an error in execution, or just a product of being genre savvy.

Like if you have this really long build up to something that is ultimately impactful, and its impact is based on surprise, or you not predicting those set of events, then the act of predicting this will more than likely cheapen the experience, and lessen the blow so to speak.
Jun 14, 2016 4:21 PM

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Depends on the genre , if it's about detectives and cases then yes , other than that , No , at least for me
Jun 14, 2016 4:30 PM

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In the case of Food Wars, it's predictabilty did not ruin the enjoyment for me. Since
Predicting the outcome of most of the food battles wasn't hard either as the show kind of leaned on certain characters. Food Wars wasn't made to be a show that relied on plot twists or unpredictability. I know they had some cliffhangers like when Megumi was being judged by that one chef dude but the end result wasn't that surprising, I actually thought that would happen.

Mystery or thriller shows though? Predictability is not good.
Jun 14, 2016 4:39 PM

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It depends on the show. If it's a slice of life or romance, I won't hold it against them. If it's a mystery or thriller, then I expect things to be surprising.
Also sometimes you can know that something is going to happen, but the show is well crafted that it still takes you by surprise. Shouwa Genroku is an example of a show that did this well.

Jun 14, 2016 4:46 PM

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I rate based on enjoyment. If it's predictable, it loses its thrill.
Thus, the score gets lower.
I'm no animetologist but I think I'm justified in my beliefs yo
Jun 14, 2016 4:46 PM
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It depends on genre, execution and what exactly is predictable. Most anime that pits good versus evil will have good triumph in the end. That doesn't stop some shows being far more enjoyable than others.
Jun 14, 2016 5:46 PM
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Unpredictability isn't inherently good. In fact, I would argue that there are more ways to ruin a show than to make it better through unpredictability. I'm talking absurd concepts here, like a charming and upbeat romance that ends with the main characters getting beheaded, or an exciting action adventure where in the end the hero and villain decide to skip the final battle and settle their differences through a game of rock-paper-scissors. My point is, for every well-done plot twist, there are a thousand ways to do it that would ruin the show.

That said, most writers of shows have enough common sense not to go for the absurd just for the sake of unpredictability. If they want to be unpredictable, they're trying to make it unpredictable in a good way.

There are two ways it can fail. The first, and most benign, is that they're not as clever as they think they are, and their "unpredictable" ending turns out to be predictable.

The second is worse. The writers misjudge the reaction of their audience, and the viewers end up hating it. In this case, they would have been better off going for predictable.

As for me, I don't see predictability as a deal-breaker. Sometimes I like a show to catch me off guard, to make me think, "That's not how I would have ended it if I were writing it, but I like that way even better than my own." But sometimes, I just want the show to go exactly where I thought it would, to give me a feeling that this is where it was always destined to end up, and everything is right in the world.
Jun 14, 2016 5:54 PM

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The element of surprise is always nice, but just has previously mentioned, if they execute it well, then it's no big deal, so it all depends. Almost everything is dependent on one thing or another.


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Jun 14, 2016 6:00 PM
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yes it shows that the author is unimaginative and uncreative or relies to much on established formulas

this is the definition of a generic/average anime, if it is samey to many other ones.
->lowered score
Jun 14, 2016 6:02 PM
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moodie said:
TBH if you cant predict most anime you are either stupid or brain dead. Those who think they are smart and lower their scores because they werent surprised and usually the dumb ones.

here me, me

how do you predict anime in general? Unless you mean good guy wins as a prediction, actual predictions are pretty much impossible.
Jun 14, 2016 6:27 PM

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I like predictability with tension. There's that fine line between wanting a happy ending and a slight chance it may not happen that even if you're 99% sure, there's always a chance someone can get killed or things go sour at the last minute.

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Jun 14, 2016 6:34 PM

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moodie said:
TBH if you cant predict most anime you are either stupid or brain dead. Those who think they are smart and lower their scores because they werent surprised and usually the dumb ones.
Most of time it's not because they can predict what will happen in the show but the exposition follows the same pattern as other shows, make it predictable even if you didn't predict it. (I'm not sure if i use the right word, but i think you get what i mean)
Jun 14, 2016 6:35 PM

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Yes being predictable is a lack of narrative structure and storytelling nuance and makes the overall experience less enjoyable. It removes any feeling of tension and suspense from important situations that are necessary in order to keep the viewer emotionally engaged. If it becomes predictable then the audience will get bored of it, well that is if they don't like mindless repetition, and thus the work itself is of a lower quality then a work that tells the exact same story but is structured differently so that the audience never is certain of what is to come. Shounen lack this because they are for children and thus we all know the main character good guy is going to win and save the day unless of course its a deconstruction of the demographic.
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Jun 14, 2016 6:45 PM

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I agree with your example of food wars, it was way too predictable when it comes to the battles which kills a lot of excitement for me.

On the other hand there are some series that throws in hints and foreshadowing for the viewers, and if the viewers pay close attention to those hints they would be able to predict a plot point for eg.

^ those are the type of prediction are rewarding to some viewers, since they were able to see the hints and put the pieces together, so when that plot point is officially confirm, the viewer feels like they have accomplish something.

Though not everyone is like that and I think it really depends on how well those hints were hidden, but of the two I would choose the latter to be the best one.
keragammingJun 14, 2016 6:48 PM
Jun 14, 2016 6:49 PM

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If your prediction is just a general "good guys're gonna win," then no. If your prediction is "I bet so-and-so is still alive and they're gonna bust in at the last--yep, there he is," then yes. Such predictable moments can be saved, however, if the execution is just right. We all knew Light was gonna get cornered and eventually lose due to some minor oversight, but actually watching the scene play out was delicious.

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Jun 14, 2016 7:48 PM

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depends. if it is too predictable it can be boring to watch
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Jun 14, 2016 7:50 PM

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Being "unpredictable" not always good. Just take a look at OreImo. Bunch of people got butthurt after finishing that story. LOL
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Jun 14, 2016 7:56 PM

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I do enjoy when anime are unpredictable like Gintama however if it's predictable I don't really mind.
Jun 14, 2016 8:12 PM

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Yes. And quite a justified reason too...
Jun 14, 2016 8:23 PM

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~~~depends on the show~~~

A mystery being predictable is much worse than a romance being predictable.
Jun 14, 2016 8:23 PM

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Sure, if it's something that disengages you from the show, why wouldn't it be justified? Most stories are fairly predictable once you've experienced enough of them.
Jun 14, 2016 8:29 PM

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NasalShark said:

TLDR; Is being "predictable" a justifiable reason to lower an anime score?


In my opinion, there's a reason why these shows are on MAL's top rankings,

  • Hunter x Hunter (can't predict most of the fight dynamics)
  • Stein's Gate (can't predict most of the time travel contour/outcome)
  • FMAB (can't predict, personally for me, how almost all of the character development and execution seamlessly fit together throughout the entire series)
  • Clannad Aftershit (can't predict it would be that boring, given its rank in MAL)

Obviously coming from someone who didn't read their manga counterparts prior to watching the anime version.
HaeduansJun 14, 2016 8:45 PM
Jun 14, 2016 8:34 PM

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If it's predictable for no reason, in purpose of nothing, of course. I had the same problem with Shokugeki no Souma, specially Souma's battles had no emotion no them because I already knew he was going to win, and even if they were gourgeously animated, they ended up feeling kinda flat. Souma has a desease I call "Kirititis".
And it's the biggest reason I think Megumi was going to be actually the main character because she is actually interesting and has a lot of development.
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Jun 14, 2016 8:35 PM

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No, not necessarily. I recently watched Ashita no Joe and I saw ending from a mile away and it didn't make it a less enjoyable experience.

The only situation where being predictable is bad is if there is a specific plot point that hinges on the alluring nature of the mystery that the surrounding plot, characters, and themes have created for it. i.e. "The killer...WAS BEHIND YOU THE WHOLE TIME!"

Foreshadowing and subtle hinting is the making of a very compelling narrative.

Hell, even if an anime has an extremely predictable plot point, I'd much prefer it to the shock factor moments that do not progress or change the dynamic of the running narrative. i.e. Akame ga Kill
Jun 14, 2016 8:36 PM
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Predictability falls under the category of Convenience from a critical perspective, so yes.

A predictable show is less engaging which in turn makes it less enjoyable.
Jun 14, 2016 9:19 PM

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InducedPhobia said:

Hell, even if an anime has an extremely predictable plot point, I'd much prefer it to the shock factor moments that do not progress or change the dynamic of the running narrative. i.e. Akame ga Kill


Still, it's highly unpredictable that


keragamming said:
I agree with your example of food wars, it was way too predictable when it comes to the battles which kills a lot of excitement for me.

On the other hand there are some series that throws in hints and foreshadowing for the viewers, and if the viewers pay close attention to those hints they would be able to predict a plot point for eg.

^ those are the type of prediction are rewarding to some viewers, since they were able to see the hints and put the pieces together, so when that plot point is officially confirm, the viewer feels like they have accomplish something.

Indeed. I'm still elated that I was able to see Kurisu's
I'm really a bad theorist and cannot most of the time, predict the questions for my school exams, at least a few anime did me a favor so that I cannot fall into complete depravity. XD
Jun 14, 2016 9:19 PM

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Predictability is only a problem with the genres that thrive on unpredictability. If you watch a random ecchi harem show it's likely that predictability is not going to be a problem. But if there's something huge to be revealed, like in Shinsekai Yori or Psycho Pass, predictability will do a lot of damage to the score.
Jun 14, 2016 9:23 PM

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it really just depends on how well it's executed and if it's still entertaining even though it's predictable

I dont find shows like God Eater and Akame ga Kill the least bit entertaining and are also quite predictable

other shows like SnK are very entertaining and are filled to the brim with subtle plot twists and interesting characters yet is still very predictable
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Jun 14, 2016 10:06 PM

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well, at least we cant predict what kind of spice or technique they used to their dish.. unless if you're professional chef

IMO, predictable is just as bonus aspect.
the important thing is how they to convey the story. poor written story will be entertain if they convey the story well
Jun 14, 2016 10:34 PM

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Predictability can be valid criticism.

However, becoming OCD over ratings to the point of lowering them based on some sole reason like that is dumb. As far as predictability goes, One Punch Man is possibly one of the most predictable shows out there yet, it is universally loved.

It's rather arbitrary.
Jun 14, 2016 10:42 PM

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I think it has more to do with execution.
Nisekoi was predictable as all hell, but I still enjoyed it.
Jun 14, 2016 10:43 PM

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FlatEight said:
I think it has more to do with execution.


Thanks for summing what i was going to say lol
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Jun 14, 2016 10:50 PM

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WestAtBest said:
FlatEight said:
I think it has more to do with execution.


Thanks for summing what i was going to say lol

Isn't it great when other people share your opinions?
I do think that some shows do need some unpredictability and be less formulaic, like a mystery or thriller.
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