Orvieto said: As said, this is hardly the audience. In reality, the Current Events forums is just a guise for a Sports forum that also allows periods of news threads that no matter how serious the topic, gathers less posts than a the amount of posts an episode of a popular anime receives in less than a hour.
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In response to your points:
1) If the point of your argument here is that a independent E.Ukraine would have a stable economy, I would disagree. The thing about the economy is that if there is no domestic market for the goods of E.Ukraine, they will need to look to the International Market.
However, trade means recognition, and the entirety of the West does not recognize a independent E.Ukraine. Granted E.Ukraine might be able to open the markets of the 'neutral' countries such as India and China, though not initially. E.Ukraine would have to prove it can sustain itself economically. Not to mention the substantial debt E.Ukraine itself will have when it completely secedes.
The E.Ukrainians would have to solely rely on Russia for the initial years (bailout, and trade), and so far; the Ukraine situation has only been a burden on Russia economically. I don't know how much the classes of Russia can tolerate continual sanctions for a country that won't even be incorporated into the Federation.
2) Be aware that this vote as you said was only attempted. This proposed law was in fact defeated by a majority. The Ukrainians recognized the consequences of such a law.The only reason why this was such a factor was because the Russian media, especially RT, propagated the fear factor that Ukraine was trying to repress the ethnic Russians when this simply wasn't true, or at the very least not before the Crimean crisis.
3) It is well known that there are elements of neo-Nazi and ultra-nationalists in the Ukrainian government. It has been well reported in Western media as well, the BBC even had a small video documentary on this issue. The Right Sector and Svoboda were in fact crucial supporters in the Maidan and were very popular. With the advent of the Ukraine crisis, the government has taken a role in suppressing them from media and voters. They are slowly losing support as seen in the election where only 1% voted for Svoboda, 0.7% for Right Sector, as opposed to the early opinion polls and the almost unanimous popularity they had after the Maidan seized government. The majority of W.Ukrainians can understand that it would be dangerous for the future of Ukraine as it is.
4) I do not think there is any way one can solely blame one faction for hypocrisy and being disingenuous.
Russia for example, lies about the initial troops coming into the Ukraine as 'local' militia.
They also broke the Ukrainian Nuclear proliferation treaty in which Russia promised to 'respect the territorial integrity of Ukraine'.
1) Yes, I agree, not much to say about this. Since Eastern Ukraine doesn't have as many production facilities as Western Ukraine, but holds a more significant portion of the natural resources vs. Western Ukraine (based on density per square mile).
In fact, the current civil war reminds me of the American Civil War. The cases here are almost starkly similar, except that we have a more socialist and not necessarily uniting Western Ukraine. The Western Ukrainians have more of the factories, the Eastern Ukrainians (replace cotton) have natural resources. The two sides also have "righteous causes" to fight for.
Personally in this case I find the Eastern cause to be more significant and better, which is subjective to whether you love freedom or union.
2) Definitely. The whole issue of Crimea and the anti-multinational law caused a lot of struggle and strife between neighbors. I think the most important thing to note here is that though they are ethnic Russians, they are still Ukrainians.
After all, do we say Germans who live and become incorporated with American society, and become citizens, are Germans? No, we call them German-Americans, or simply Americans. Not until we ask for ethnicity only do we call them Germans, and pure Germans.
The truth is if you look at news websites such as USATODAY.com and other various American news outlets, they tend to label the "Pro-Russia Separatists or Rebels" and other such as *KEY WORD HERE* PRO RUSSIAN. Yes, there are volunteer fighters from Russia fighting with the Separatists.
However, it is important to know--80% of East Ukraine is Ethnic-Ukrainian, and only roughly 20% is Ethnic Russian. This isn't counting Ukrainians who mixed their blood. They are all still Ukrainians.
And also, quite a lot of East Ukrainians are not Pro-Russian--they merely want freedom from the oppression of the Western Government of Ukraine. There has been a lot of strife between West and East Ukraine prior to the civil war, and arguably this is not only due to economic differences but because the arms and the legs of Ukraine cannot agree on who is more important, when in fact they fail to recognize they are more or less equal, and working together is vital to the future of Ukraine as a whole.
3) Indeed, the Right Sector and Svoboda have played less of a part after Maidan, but the ultra-nationalists still exist. The fact that they played a significant part of Maidan revolution is important. In fact, there are still Maidan protestors protesting the new government.
I agree with you that most Ukrainians would view the ultra-nationalistic extremism to be non-beneficial to the country. As much as some Ukrainians hate Russians and ethnic Russians, I'm sure they desire peace (as do most Russian citizens, who wants war?). Nobody wants war, as far as I can tell, except country governments, big defense businesses, and land-hungry rulers.
4) That is true, no doubt each country lies to their own. I cannot agree with what you said about lying about initial troops coming into Ukraine--if you are referring to the "invasion of Crimea" than maybe so, they did look like VDV members. But in regards to the current civil war of Ukraine, the Russian government has merely turned a blind eye to the volunteer fighters (as all Russian men have requisite military training) who wish to fight for East Ukrainian Sovereignty.
But the Ukrainian Nuclear proliferation treaty is a small treaty to break in light of the others that both Ukraine and Russia have broken within these past few months. |