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Japan's Weekly Blu-ray & CD Rankings for Mar 11 - 17

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Mar 22, 2013 3:41 AM
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^ Basugay thrives on DVD.
Mar 22, 2013 3:47 AM

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bippo said:
^ Basugay thrives on DVD.


oops, forgot the disc demographic of KuroBas...
Mar 22, 2013 9:37 AM

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No DVD release for Love Love! or is it not charted?
Mar 22, 2013 11:21 PM

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Ejc said:
Oricon Daily ranks for Mar 21 (pre-release day for Mar 22 releases):
Great info. The only real surprise is Ai Mai Mii making into the DVD chart. The BD ranking is pretty much what most people expected, at least for the top 15.
So MAL finally starts locking news threads that are only a few weeks old?

I wonder where was the announcement of this change? Or we are seeing yet another case of changes made that impacted users but not communicated to them?

I wonder how long people would put up with this.

As much as I have a bunch of information to share about anime announced recently I cannot share it in news board, and the anime series is too disorganized and chaotic to share information except with people already interested in the particular series.
Mar 22, 2013 11:33 PM

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symbv said:
Ejc said:
Oricon Daily ranks for Mar 21 (pre-release day for Mar 22 releases):
Great info. The only real surprise is Ai Mai Mii making into the DVD chart. The BD ranking is pretty much what most people expected, at least for the top 15.


It may not be all that surprising though. Ai Mai Mii DVD has about 1.2k on Stalker. So you'd expect it to rank at least once. However it is ranked below Shirokuma Cafe, which usually sells 900 or so. So it may not actually sell that much, unless Shirokuma Cafe sells more than expected. Maybe another day of ranks is in order to determine how much it could possibly sell?

Nice to see you part of the News Team though!
The News Club: Quality News/Discussion (anime, CDs, manga, novels, games, seiyuu), & sales data (daily, weekly, mid-year, yearly).
Mar 23, 2013 12:01 AM

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^ Yeah, Shirokuma Cafe ranking above Ai Mai Mii is another surprise.

I guess I never expect Ai Mai Mii can really sell that many (i.e. >1k) while Mangirl is heading below 1k.

So you noticed ;-) You will surely see me spending more time in the News Board from now on :-)
So MAL finally starts locking news threads that are only a few weeks old?

I wonder where was the announcement of this change? Or we are seeing yet another case of changes made that impacted users but not communicated to them?

I wonder how long people would put up with this.

As much as I have a bunch of information to share about anime announced recently I cannot share it in news board, and the anime series is too disorganized and chaotic to share information except with people already interested in the particular series.
Mar 23, 2013 12:20 AM

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symbv said:
^ Yeah, Shirokuma Cafe ranking above Ai Mai Mii is another surprise.

I guess I never expect Ai Mai Mii can really sell that many (i.e. >1k) while Mangirl is heading below 1k.

So you noticed ;-) You will surely see me spending more time in the News Board from now on :-)


True. I like the art style in Mangirl more than in Ai Mai Mii. It just seems a bit lazy at times. It also baffles me that Mangirl! has a lot more content than Ai Mai Mii on its BD and is not selling as well.

That's good. You've been very helpful all around the forum and have provided great information and insight into various topics. Really, well deserved :)
The News Club: Quality News/Discussion (anime, CDs, manga, novels, games, seiyuu), & sales data (daily, weekly, mid-year, yearly).
Mar 23, 2013 2:14 AM

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Ejc said:
symbv said:
^ Yeah, Shirokuma Cafe ranking above Ai Mai Mii is another surprise.

I guess I never expect Ai Mai Mii can really sell that many (i.e. >1k) while Mangirl is heading below 1k.

So you noticed ;-) You will surely see me spending more time in the News Board from now on :-)


True. I like the art style in Mangirl more than in Ai Mai Mii. It just seems a bit lazy at times. It also baffles me that Mangirl! has a lot more content than Ai Mai Mii on its BD and is not selling as well.

That's good. You've been very helpful all around the forum and have provided great information and insight into various topics. Really, well deserved :)


Mangirl and Yama no Susume are both expensive compared to Teekyuu, also from Earthstar, which probably hurts Mangirl more as it doesn't have the watercolor mountain scenery of Yama no Susume. I have ordered both anyways but compared to stuff with much lower production value like Osaka Okan and Wooser, and Teekyuu ... Both Mangirl and Yama look expensive for the actual 30 minutes of episode content you get and might have sold better at ¥4000. Yama feels like a full length show which saves it but Mangirl feels like what it is, a funny short.
Mar 23, 2013 3:29 AM

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Oricon Daily ranks for Mar 22. A few ranking changes... probably with more heavily storefront titles shipping on release day? Nothing major though.

DVD Daily
*18 *19 *20 *21 *22 *23 *24  週
*** *** *** **1 **1 *** *** | -- | Gundam UC 6
*** *** *** **5 **2 *** *** | -- | Nanoha The MOVIE 2nd A's SLE
*** *** *** **2 **3 *** *** | -- | KuroBas 9
*** *** *** *10 *13 *** *** | -- | ONE PIECE Episode of Luffy ~Hand Island no Bouken~
*** *** *** *14 *15 *** *** | -- | Nanoha The MOVIE 2nd A's LE
*** *** *** *20 *24 *** *** | -- | PSYCHO-PASS 4
*** *** *** *26 *29 *** *** | -- | Nanoha The MOVIE 2nd A's RE
*** *** *** *21 *** *** *** | -- | GaruPan 3
*** *** *** *25 *** *** *** | -- | Shirokuma Cafe 9
*** *** *** *30 *** *** *** | -- | Ai Mai Mii
*** *23 *21 *** *** *** *** | -- | Smile Precure Movie
*** *** *30 *** *** *** *** | -- | Alice Tantei Kyoko 2
*** *21 *** *** *** *** *** | -- | Waraseeru Suman DVD Box
*13 *** *** *** *** *** *** | -- | Ookami Kodomo

BD Daily
*18 *19 *20 *21 *22 *23 *24  週
*** *** *** **2 **1 *** *** | -- | Nanoha The MOVIE 2nd A's SLE
*** *** *** **1 **2 *** *** | -- | Gundam UC 6 LE
*** *** *** **4 **3 *** *** | -- | Gundam UC 6 RE
*** *** *** **6 **4 *** *** | -- | Love Live! 1
*** *** *** **5 **5 *** *** | -- | Horizon II 7
*** *** *** **3 **6 *** *** | -- | GaruPan 3
*** *** *** **7 **7 *** *** | -- | Nanoha The MOVIE 2nd A's LE
*** *** *** **8 **8 *** *** | -- | KuroBas 9
*** *** *** **9 *11 *** *** | -- | PSYCHO-PASS 4
*** **2 **2 *17 *12 *** *** | -- | Chu2koi! 4
*** *** *** *12 *14 *** *** | -- | Gundam SEED C.E.73-STARGAZER-
*** *** *** *14 *15 *** *** | -- | Total Eclipse 7
*** *** *** *15 *17 *** *** | -- | Nanoha The MOVIE 2nd A's RE
*** *** *** *** *18 *** *** | -- | Busou Shinki 4
*** *** *** *16 *** *** *** | -- | Overman King Gainer BD Box
*** *** *** *20 *** *** *** | -- | ONE PIECE Episode of Luffy ~Hand Island no Bouken~
*** *12 **7 *** *** *** *** | -- | TamakoMa 1
*** **7 *12 *** *** *** *** | -- | Smile Precure Movie
*** *10 *13 *** *** *** *** | -- | Saki Achiga-hen 8
*** *** *15 *** *** *** *** | -- | Da Capo III 1
*** *16 *16 *** *** *** *** | -- | THE UNLIMITED 1
*** *17 *17 *** *** *** *** | -- | HanaIro Blu-ray 'BOX
*** *14 *20 *** *** *** *** | -- | Maoyuu 1
**9 *** *** *** *** *** *** | -- | NekoKuro 1
*10 *** *** *** *** *** *** | -- | Ookami Kodomo
*12 *** *** *** *** *** *** | -- | K 7
*14 *** *** *** *** *** *** | -- | K 6
*15 *** *** *** *** *** *** | -- | Ookami Kodomo Blu-ray+DVD
EjcMar 23, 2013 3:34 AM
The News Club: Quality News/Discussion (anime, CDs, manga, novels, games, seiyuu), & sales data (daily, weekly, mid-year, yearly).
Mar 23, 2013 3:40 AM

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^ Key observations;

- Clearly Love Live is strong in shopfront as most shops deliver their orders on the official release date. Now it may just beat Horizon2 when the full week's data come in.

- On the other hand, we can see GalPan is more skewed towards internet retail channel as online retailers usually try to send their orders a bit earlier.

- Nanoha and UC Gundam are showing very strong performance on the official release date too.

- Chu2byo is showing really robust strength, rising in rank on its FOURTH day.

- VERY intriguing to see Busou Shinki actually made into the chart THREE days into its release week (it was actually released on Mar 20th but sales data start from 19th). Amazing.

-
So MAL finally starts locking news threads that are only a few weeks old?

I wonder where was the announcement of this change? Or we are seeing yet another case of changes made that impacted users but not communicated to them?

I wonder how long people would put up with this.

As much as I have a bunch of information to share about anime announced recently I cannot share it in news board, and the anime series is too disorganized and chaotic to share information except with people already interested in the particular series.
Mar 23, 2013 4:04 AM

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symbv said:
^ Key observations;

- Clearly Love Live is strong in shopfront as most shops deliver their orders on the official release date. Now it may just beat Horizon2 when the full week's data come in.

- On the other hand, we can see GalPan is more skewed towards internet retail channel as online retailers usually try to send their orders a bit earlier.
-


That'd be amazing if Love Live! ends up beating Horizon. I had it pinned at minimum 15k because of how underestimated Little Busters! ended up being. Love Live! is actually doing pretty well on Amazon JP as of lately... but there's the danger of sales being significantly lower from v2 onwards since v1 only had 1ep and is cheaper than the other volumes. Hopefully not!

Do you think there will be a shortage of 1st week sales this time around for GaruPan v3? The restock is now 21 days compared to the 6 days that GaruPan v2 initially had. Maybe Amazon JP is being a lot more cautious this time around...
The News Club: Quality News/Discussion (anime, CDs, manga, novels, games, seiyuu), & sales data (daily, weekly, mid-year, yearly).
Mar 23, 2013 4:19 AM

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Ejc said:
Do you think there will be a shortage of 1st week sales this time around for GaruPan v3? The restock is now 21 days compared to the 6 days that GaruPan v2 initially had. Maybe Amazon JP is being a lot more cautious this time around...
I think the risk of stock outage is real although far from the severity we see back in vol.1 time. Of course it is also possible Amazon wants to keep out any chaos and so try to be more cautious this time.
So MAL finally starts locking news threads that are only a few weeks old?

I wonder where was the announcement of this change? Or we are seeing yet another case of changes made that impacted users but not communicated to them?

I wonder how long people would put up with this.

As much as I have a bunch of information to share about anime announced recently I cannot share it in news board, and the anime series is too disorganized and chaotic to share information except with people already interested in the particular series.
Mar 24, 2013 4:54 AM

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10121
Update with Saturday's data

Key points:


- For the BD, the top six stay exactly where they were the day before, which means LoveLive is still above Horizon2, and Nanoha SLE and UC Gundam as strong as ever (although Nanoha LE and RE have fallen).

- In the BD chart, Kurobas rises and Nanoha dropped below Kurobas. Chu2byo also rises to overtake Psycho-Pass.

- A new entry in the DVD chart: the short anime for the Gachaman franchise.

DVD Daily
*18 *19 *20 *21 *22 *23 *24 
*** *** *** **1 **1 **1 *** | -- | Gundam UC 6
*** *** *** **5 **2 **5 *** | -- | Nanoha The MOVIE 2nd A's SLE
*** *** *** **2 **3 **4 *** | -- | KuroBas 9
*** *** *** *** *** *20 *** | -- | ZIP! Ohayou Ninjatai Gachaman Berg-Katze-hen
*** *** *** *10 *13 *27 *** | -- | ONE PIECE Episode of Luffy ~Hand Island no Bouken~
*** *** *** *14 *15 *** *** | -- | Nanoha The MOVIE 2nd A's LE
*** *** *** *20 *24 *** *** | -- | PSYCHO-PASS 4
*** *** *** *26 *29 *** *** | -- | Nanoha The MOVIE 2nd A's RE
*** *** *** *21 *** *** *** | -- | GaruPan 3
*** *** *** *25 *** *** *** | -- | Shirokuma Cafe 9
*** *** *** *30 *** *** *** | -- | Ai Mai Mii
*** *23 *21 *** *** *** *** | -- | Smile Precure Movie
*** *** *30 *** *** *** *** | -- | Alice Tantei Kyoko 2
*** *21 *** *** *** *** *** | -- | Waraseeru Suman DVD Box
*13 *** *** *** *** *** *** | -- | Ookami Kodomo

BD Daily
*18 *19 *20 *21 *22 *23 *24 
*** *** *** **2 **1 **1 *** | -- | Nanoha The MOVIE 2nd A's SLE
*** *** *** **1 **2 **2 *** | -- | Gundam UC 6 LE
*** *** *** **4 **3 **3 *** | -- | Gundam UC 6 RE
*** *** *** **6 **4 **4 *** | -- | Love Live! 1
*** *** *** **5 **5 **5 *** | -- | Horizon II 7
*** *** *** **3 **6 **6 *** | -- | GaruPan 3
*** *** *** **8 **8 **7 *** | -- | KuroBas 9
*** *** *** **7 **7 *10 *** | -- | Nanoha The MOVIE 2nd A's LE
*** **2 **2 *17 *12 *11 *** | -- | Chu2koi! 4
*** *** *** **9 *11 *12 *** | -- | PSYCHO-PASS 4
*** *** *** *12 *14 *14 *** | -- | Gundam SEED C.E.73-STARGAZER-
*** *** *** *14 *15 *17 *** | -- | Total Eclipse 7
*** *** *** *15 *17 *** *** | -- | Nanoha The MOVIE 2nd A's RE
*** *** *** *** *18 *** *** | -- | Busou Shinki 4
*** *** *** *16 *** *** *** | -- | Overman King Gainer BD Box
*** *** *** *20 *** *** *** | -- | ONE PIECE Episode of Luffy ~Hand Island no Bouken~
*** *12 **7 *** *** *** *** | -- | TamakoMa 1
*** **7 *12 *** *** *** *** | -- | Smile Precure Movie
*** *10 *13 *** *** *** *** | -- | Saki Achiga-hen 8
*** *** *15 *** *** *** *** | -- | Da Capo III 1
So MAL finally starts locking news threads that are only a few weeks old?

I wonder where was the announcement of this change? Or we are seeing yet another case of changes made that impacted users but not communicated to them?

I wonder how long people would put up with this.

As much as I have a bunch of information to share about anime announced recently I cannot share it in news board, and the anime series is too disorganized and chaotic to share information except with people already interested in the particular series.
Mar 24, 2013 10:18 PM

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symbv said:
Update with Saturday's data

Key points:


- For the BD, the top six stay exactly where they were the day before, which means LoveLive is still above Horizon2, and Nanoha SLE and UC Gundam as strong as ever (although Nanoha LE and RE have fallen).


Love Live! and Horizon II do seem very very close now. If Love Live! were to rank above Horizon again for Mar 24... then it could be almost certain that it has outsold Horizon with 17~20k-ish?
EjcMar 24, 2013 10:23 PM
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Mar 24, 2013 10:23 PM

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Ejc said:
Love Live! and Horizon II do seem very very close now. If Love Live! were to rank above Horizon again for Mar 24... then it could be almost certain that it has outsold Horizon with ~20k-ish?
This is precisely the talk in 2ch Sales Thread the last few days. The point is if LoveLive really sells 20k or even a lower number but close (say 18-19k) it still means a very big deviation from the Amazon Stalker projection (which is 10.6k). For me, I can see a level of underestimation that can put LoveLive up to 15-16k but the question is: Is it going to do even better than that?
So MAL finally starts locking news threads that are only a few weeks old?

I wonder where was the announcement of this change? Or we are seeing yet another case of changes made that impacted users but not communicated to them?

I wonder how long people would put up with this.

As much as I have a bunch of information to share about anime announced recently I cannot share it in news board, and the anime series is too disorganized and chaotic to share information except with people already interested in the particular series.
Mar 24, 2013 10:25 PM

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I demand vividred operation season 2.
Mar 24, 2013 10:27 PM

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symbv said:
Ejc said:
Love Live! and Horizon II do seem very very close now. If Love Live! were to rank above Horizon again for Mar 24... then it could be almost certain that it has outsold Horizon with ~20k-ish?
This is precisely the talk in 2ch Sales Thread the last few days. The point is if LoveLive really sells 20k or even a lower number but close (say 18-19k) it still means a very big deviation from the Amazon Stalker projection (which is 10.6k). For me, I can see a level of underestimation that can put LoveLive up to 15-16k but the question is: Is it going to do even better than that?


I've been predicting ~15k as well, however it has been doing a bit better (IMO based on the daily rankings) than Little Busters! did at Gamers and softmap... and even ranking a few times on the Animate Top 10. It's still doing very strongly at Amazon as well, where the Stalker prediction of 10.6k doesn't account for the release week sales any more.
The News Club: Quality News/Discussion (anime, CDs, manga, novels, games, seiyuu), & sales data (daily, weekly, mid-year, yearly).
Mar 24, 2013 10:33 PM

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Ejc said:
It's still doing very strongly at Amazon as well, where the Stalker prediction of 10.6k doesn't account for the release week sales any more.
I would say that the prediction model of the Amazon Stalker should take into account of the sales in the release week (for a good prediction model it should) but we do not know how it does the adjustment. If an anime title has a really fat or long tail, then Stalker will be underestimating even more. Perhaps this is what happens for Love Live here.
So MAL finally starts locking news threads that are only a few weeks old?

I wonder where was the announcement of this change? Or we are seeing yet another case of changes made that impacted users but not communicated to them?

I wonder how long people would put up with this.

As much as I have a bunch of information to share about anime announced recently I cannot share it in news board, and the anime series is too disorganized and chaotic to share information except with people already interested in the particular series.
Mar 24, 2013 10:45 PM

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symbv said:
Ejc said:
It's still doing very strongly at Amazon as well, where the Stalker prediction of 10.6k doesn't account for the release week sales any more.
I would say that the prediction model of the Amazon Stalker should take into account of the sales in the release week (for a good prediction model it should) but we do not know how it does the adjustment. If an anime title has a really fat or long tail, then Stalker will be underestimating even more. Perhaps this is what happens for Love Live here.


Stalker used to account for release week sales by accumulating points for 1 week after release day. This however allowed some titles such as Tari Tari, end up extremely overestimated due to its strong Amazon ranking during release week.

I guess it's kind of hard for Stalker to accommodate all scenarios... but it's doing quite a good job for predicting 1st week sales nevertheless. The ones which are particularly skewed towards Amazon or storefront, seem to be the most deviated no matter what algorithm Stalker uses.

I have heard that Stalker slightly reduces the daily accumulated points towards the cumulative points for titles that get particularly popular to reduce overestimation... but i'm not sure if it still occurs.
The News Club: Quality News/Discussion (anime, CDs, manga, novels, games, seiyuu), & sales data (daily, weekly, mid-year, yearly).
Mar 25, 2013 3:10 AM

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Last Oricon Daily Update before the Preliminary List tomorrow.

DVD Daily
*18 *19 *20 *21 *22 *23 *24 
*** *** *** **1 **1 **1 **2 | -- | Gundam UC 6
*** *** *** **5 **2 **5 *12 | -- | Nanoha The MOVIE 2nd A's SLE
*** *** *** **2 **3 **4 *14 | -- | KuroBas 9
*13 *** *** *** *** *** *22 | -- | Ookami Kodomo
*** *** *** *** *** *22 *** | -- | ZIP! Ohayou Ninjatai Gachaman Berg-Katze-hen
*** *** *** *10 *13 *27 *** | -- | ONE PIECE Episode of Luffy ~Hand Island no Bouken~
*** *** *** *14 *15 *** *** | -- | Nanoha The MOVIE 2nd A's LE
*** *** *** *20 *24 *** *** | -- | PSYCHO-PASS 4
*** *** *** *26 *29 *** *** | -- | Nanoha The MOVIE 2nd A's RE
*** *** *** *21 *** *** *** | -- | GaruPan 3
*** *** *** *25 *** *** *** | -- | Shirokuma Cafe 9
*** *** *** *30 *** *** *** | -- | Ai Mai Mii
*** *23 *21 *** *** *** *** | -- | Smile Precure Movie
*** *** *30 *** *** *** *** | -- | Alice Tantei Kyoko 2
*** *21 *** *** *** *** *** | -- | Waraseeru Suman DVD Box

BD Daily
*18 *19 *20 *21 *22 *23 *24 
*** *** *** **2 **1 **1 **1 | -- | Nanoha The MOVIE 2nd A's SLE
*** *** *** **1 **2 **2 **2 | -- | Gundam UC 6 LE
*** *** *** **6 **4 **4 **3 | -- | Love Live! 1
*** *** *** **4 **3 **3 **4 | -- | Gundam UC 6 RE
*** *** *** **5 **5 **5 **5 | -- | Horizon II 7
*** *** *** **3 **6 **6 **7 | -- | GaruPan 3
*** *** *** **8 **8 **7 **8 | -- | KuroBas 9
*** *** *** **7 **7 *10 **9 | -- | Nanoha The MOVIE 2nd A's LE
*** **2 **2 *17 *12 *11 *11 | -- | Chu2koi! 4
*** *** *** **9 *11 *12 *13 | -- | PSYCHO-PASS 4
*** *** *** *12 *14 *14 *17 | -- | Gundam SEED C.E.73-STARGAZER-
*** *** *** *14 *15 *17 *** | -- | Total Eclipse 7
*** *** *** *15 *17 *** *** | -- | Nanoha The MOVIE 2nd A's RE
*** *** *** *** *18 *** *** | -- | Busou Shinki 4
*** *** *** *16 *** *** *** | -- | Overman King Gainer BD Box
*** *** *** *20 *** *** *** | -- | ONE PIECE Episode of Luffy ~Hand Island no Bouken~
*** *12 **7 *** *** *** *** | -- | TamakoMa 1
*** **7 *12 *** *** *** *** | -- | Smile Precure Movie
*** *10 *13 *** *** *** *** | -- | Saki Achiga-hen 8
*** *** *15 *** *** *** *** | -- | Da Capo III 1
*** *16 *16 *** *** *** *** | -- | THE UNLIMITED 1
*** *17 *17 *** *** *** *** | -- | HanaIro Blu-ray 'BOX
*** *14 *20 *** *** *** *** | -- | Maoyuu 1
**9 *** *** *** *** *** *** | -- | NekoKuro 1
*10 *** *** *** *** *** *** | -- | Ookami Kodomo
*12 *** *** *** *** *** *** | -- | K 7
*14 *** *** *** *** *** *** | -- | K 6
*15 *** *** *** *** *** *** | -- | Ookami Kodomo Blu-ray+DVD
The News Club: Quality News/Discussion (anime, CDs, manga, novels, games, seiyuu), & sales data (daily, weekly, mid-year, yearly).
Mar 25, 2013 3:52 AM

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^ Love Live just might reach 20k or get very close to it....
So MAL finally starts locking news threads that are only a few weeks old?

I wonder where was the announcement of this change? Or we are seeing yet another case of changes made that impacted users but not communicated to them?

I wonder how long people would put up with this.

As much as I have a bunch of information to share about anime announced recently I cannot share it in news board, and the anime series is too disorganized and chaotic to share information except with people already interested in the particular series.
Mar 25, 2013 4:06 AM
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846
^ I'm betting on the opposite. I'm still rooting on 10k with a max on 15k. But man, the last episode was so dramatic everyone might be begging for a happier 2nd season and buy the blurays to support it.
Mar 25, 2013 4:13 AM

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10121
^ Great I think we have a prediction game here. Of course no prize but perhaps a bit of bragging right. ;-)

How about setting the range of guess as 5k? You said the sales will be 10k-15k. My take will be 13k-18k, but I will be happy to be wrong if the sales goes to 19k 20k or beyond.

Wonder if anybody would like to join in....
symbvMar 25, 2013 4:21 AM
So MAL finally starts locking news threads that are only a few weeks old?

I wonder where was the announcement of this change? Or we are seeing yet another case of changes made that impacted users but not communicated to them?

I wonder how long people would put up with this.

As much as I have a bunch of information to share about anime announced recently I cannot share it in news board, and the anime series is too disorganized and chaotic to share information except with people already interested in the particular series.
Mar 25, 2013 4:17 AM

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Sep 2012
3948
symbv said:
^ Love Live just might reach 20k or get very close to it....


I sure hope so, Wonderful Rush indeed!

Watching episode one a few times on BD1 on Friday I remembered that the Soundtrack includes the Arise insert song. Preordered...

I always score high so I will guess 18K-23K.
Mar 25, 2013 4:20 AM

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^ it's funny how you guys chose the best options youself, then ask everyone to pick up the bones. XD. My prediction is about 17k, no less. However, just as a bonus, I will pick any number more than 18k for my bragging right :))
Mar 25, 2013 4:22 AM

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10121
ThangLong said:
^ it's funny how you guys chose the best options youself, then ask everyone to pick up the bones. XD.
Nobody says you cannot guess what others have already guessed, so we are all on equal footing ;-)
So MAL finally starts locking news threads that are only a few weeks old?

I wonder where was the announcement of this change? Or we are seeing yet another case of changes made that impacted users but not communicated to them?

I wonder how long people would put up with this.

As much as I have a bunch of information to share about anime announced recently I cannot share it in news board, and the anime series is too disorganized and chaotic to share information except with people already interested in the particular series.
Mar 25, 2013 4:33 AM

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4626
I guess i'll join in with 15~20k. Always thought the minimum was around 15k based on how underestimated Little Busters! ended up. Well we'll see tomorrow, lol.
The News Club: Quality News/Discussion (anime, CDs, manga, novels, games, seiyuu), & sales data (daily, weekly, mid-year, yearly).
Mar 25, 2013 4:44 AM

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symbv said:
My take will be 13k-18k, but I will be happy to be wrong if the sales goes to 19k 20k or beyond.

Meaning you are giving 1k for your "wiggle room." That's a definition of fuzzy math if I ever see one ;)

My prediction is 17k, meaning you would be right if sale is 14k for example. But I would be right if sale is 17,300 because I chose a shorter range and therefore, I'm more accurate.

That said, I really hope it goes beyond 20k. But we need to remember that this is a short week for Love Live! since it was released two days later than some other stuffs

Also, any comment on the timing? I personally think this is the best time to release. With the series ending, any lack of recognition before is now gone. People realize how good the show is, not just some kind of Idolm@aster clone. Episode 12 just aired so it will squeeze in some last-minute decisions based on the new-found drama as well. If I were hesitated before, I would certainly buy it now to support Honoka-chan :)
ThangLongMar 25, 2013 4:58 AM
Mar 25, 2013 4:58 AM

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10121
ThangLong said:
Meaning you are giving 1k for your "wiggle room." That's a definition of fuzzy math if I ever see one ;)
Not really, you are doing the same, saying you really hope it goes beyond 20k, right? ;) So if it turns out to be 19k I lose but I am happy. In fact I thought about guessing 14k-19k but at the last moment I turned conservative and wrote 13k-18k. I have a feeling I will regret my conservatism... :-)

ThangLong said:
That said, I really hope it goes beyond 20k. But we need to remember that this is a short week for Love Live! since it was released two days later than other stuffs
True, that may be 1k difference but this will be assuming a 3k or so for 2nd week sale which I am not sure is that likely. So the 2 days difference may come down to <1k difference in sales.

ThangLong said:
Also, any comment on the timing? I personally think this is the best time to release. With the series ending, any lack of recognition before is now gone. People realize how good the show is, not just some kind of Idolm@aster clone. Episode 12 just aired so it will squeeze in some last-minute decision based on the new-found drama as well. If I were hesitated before, I would certainly buy it now to support Honoka-chan :)
Well, it was released before the bombshell of ep.12 was aired. I just came back from reading the Japanese forums, and boy the discussions and debates about Love Live exploded. Whatever impact this episode has for the sales of the series, it will not be reflected in vol.1 sales.
So MAL finally starts locking news threads that are only a few weeks old?

I wonder where was the announcement of this change? Or we are seeing yet another case of changes made that impacted users but not communicated to them?

I wonder how long people would put up with this.

As much as I have a bunch of information to share about anime announced recently I cannot share it in news board, and the anime series is too disorganized and chaotic to share information except with people already interested in the particular series.
Mar 25, 2013 5:12 AM

Offline
Dec 2012
3019
symbv said:
ThangLong said:
Meaning you are giving 1k for your "wiggle room." That's a definition of fuzzy math if I ever see one ;)
Not really, you are doing the same, saying you really hope it goes beyond 20k, right? ;) So if it turns out to be 19k I lose but I am happy. In fact I thought about guessing 14k-19k but at the last moment I turned conservative and wrote 13k-18k. I have a feeling I will regret my conservatism... :-)

Heart or brain....decision....decision
I believe my heart but I follow my brain. 17k it is. Because this is for the bragging right, I will be vigilant about the numbers, so watch out :D

sybmv said:
Well, it was released before the bombshell of ep.12 was aired. I just came back from reading the Japanese forums, and boy the discussions and debates about Love Live exploded. Whatever impact this episode has for the sales of the series, it will not be reflected in vol.1 sales.

I have some thoughts on on the cliffhanger as well. But I will put them in the Love Live! forum later today :)
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