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Feb 17, 2019 7:49 AM

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Astros said:
Icibalus said:
It is random but I have DIRECT confirmation from the mod that there is at least one v/w pair. Therefore, those are the only two possibilities.

Secondly, it is far from irrelevant. I haven't done the exact calculations but it intuitively makes sense that it is more likely for there to be the setup with a w/w pair, which is very helpful for our PoE.
I want to say that Denja is more referring to that it's irrelevant in finding mafia. Establishing the role pairs doesn't help in that and actually can lead our search astray by the need to pin a specific pairing to two players. "If I were to assign the w/v pair who would be the best candidate?" That completely ignores the possibility that your own pair could be that one and your current reads which are incomplete. It's jumping to conclusions.


I agree, but there's always more than one villager. If we all formulate reads entirely independent of each other we might get somewhere, but this is a team game.
Feb 17, 2019 7:49 AM

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Firekitten said:
Seshmaster said:
That's not answering my question.

The answer is implied there

Oh wait you said partner
astros is town
Feb 17, 2019 7:50 AM

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Firekitten said:
Seshmaster said:
That's not answering my question.

The answer is implied there
Noooo, no it's not.

I want it outright.

Do you scumread their partner?
Feb 17, 2019 7:50 AM

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Firekitten said:
Firekitten said:

The answer is implied there

Oh wait you said partner
astros is town
Okay then, so vote me.
Feb 17, 2019 7:50 AM

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@icibalus help blue is being unreasonable
Feb 17, 2019 7:50 AM

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Seshmaster said:
Firekitten said:

Oh wait you said partner
astros is town
Okay then, so vote me.

Do me a favor and read Gwen’s posts first
Feb 17, 2019 7:51 AM

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Icibalus said:

It is random but I have DIRECT confirmation from the mod that there is at least one v/w pair. Therefore, those are the only two possibilities.

Secondly, it is far from irrelevant. I haven't done the exact calculations but it intuitively makes sense that it is more likely for there to be the setup with a w/w pair, which is very helpful for our PoE.
However, if I should humor you, there is another setup than the one you mentioned:

2 w/w, 6 v/v

also correcting one of the setup due to incorrect crunch of numbers: 4 w/v, 4 v/v

and finally 1 w/w, 2 w/v, 5 v/v

My point is, dwelling on the setup is pointless kek but i appreciate the thought about it

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Feb 17, 2019 7:51 AM

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DenjaX said:
Icibalus said:

It is random but I have DIRECT confirmation from the mod that there is at least one v/w pair. Therefore, those are the only two possibilities.

Secondly, it is far from irrelevant. I haven't done the exact calculations but it intuitively makes sense that it is more likely for there to be the setup with a w/w pair, which is very helpful for our PoE.
However, if I should humor you, there is another setup than the one you mentioned:

2 w/w, 6 v/v

also correcting one of the setup due to incorrect crunch of numbers: 4 w/v, 4 v/v

and finally 1 w/w, 2 w/v, 5 v/v

There can’t be 2 w/w the mod confirmed it
Feb 17, 2019 7:51 AM

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DenjaX said:
Icibalus said:

It is random but I have DIRECT confirmation from the mod that there is at least one v/w pair. Therefore, those are the only two possibilities.

Secondly, it is far from irrelevant. I haven't done the exact calculations but it intuitively makes sense that it is more likely for there to be the setup with a w/w pair, which is very helpful for our PoE.
However, if I should humor you, there is another setup than the one you mentioned:

2 w/w, 6 v/v

also correcting one of the setup due to incorrect crunch of numbers: 4 w/v, 4 v/v

and finally 1 w/w, 2 w/v, 5 v/v


That's impossible. I repeat, ALBERTINODIAS HAS CONFIRMED THERE IS AT LEAST ONE W/V PAIR
Feb 17, 2019 7:53 AM

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Firekitten said:

Because we are pretty much sure Gwen is mafia wait your turn
So you guys would rather lynch 1 mafia than lynching 2 mafias at once? What is going on with this logic?

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Feb 17, 2019 7:54 AM

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Icibalus said:
NewG said:


Yup, it will always lead to self destructive town. Be open minded and let yourself doubt your reads until proven right.


This post feels like Gwen (I assume the G stands for Gwen) is just begging for villagecred.


I keep mulling it over in my mind, thinking maybe that he's genuinely trying to improve Litten's reads, but the post just feels too preachy to make sense. I get the feeling that is genuinely his perspective, but the way it's posted dosen't really have an end if we assume Gwen is village.

If we go about this from the perspective of him fishing for credit as wolf, it makes perfect sense, however. I find a common misconception is that people read people as villa for 'being nice', and that's what Gwen seems to be aiming at but not quite reaching.

Vote: NewG

For now, at least.


See the above post.
Feb 17, 2019 7:54 AM

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DenjaX said:
Firekitten said:

Because we are pretty much sure Gwen is mafia wait your turn
So you guys would rather lynch 1 mafia than lynching 2 mafias at once? What is going on with this logic?

The logic is that we don’t know who tf is aw/w pair RN so we are lynching mafia
Feb 17, 2019 7:54 AM

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DenjaX said:
ScarletCelestial said:


True - the most likely M/M pairing is yourself and Awesome, so unless you're exactly half of the scum team it would probably mean there's 4 M/T pairs. My gut says that the latter is less likely imo, but... that could be the case.
So why aren't you lynching me? The horrible truth about a Lovers game is we have to sacrifice an innocent town in order to get rid of a mafia. We shouldn't backpedal on this because it is the only way for town to win.


Because I want to see what you act like first and then decide if it's M/M or not? If not, then I'd be happier voting elsewhere.
Feb 17, 2019 7:56 AM

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Seshmaster said:
Icibalus said:


Has he posted in lover chat yet? If he hasn't then I'm willing to vote him TOMMOROW.
All he's done is ask where Geyde went, and when I asked him to convince me he was town, say "I'm town, the towniest town to ever town" and that's that.


Wow that is... not good. Kinda weird that he hasn't tried bargaining with you yet if he is scum, though?
Feb 17, 2019 7:56 AM

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Firekitten said:
The logic is that we don’t know who tf is aw/w pair RN so we are lynching mafia
You don't know who is a w/w pair, yet have several w/v? How does that make sense.
Feb 17, 2019 7:57 AM

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Gwen's posts make so little sense that it just feels like he's trying desperately to get credit for thread presence and that's it.

Blue, trust me and Litten for once. We're willing to lynch Hjasik tommorow, but not today.
Feb 17, 2019 7:57 AM

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I’m getting frustrated because we have a guy self voting and someone arguing why tf do I have several w/v pairs and not w/w pairs
Feb 17, 2019 7:57 AM

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Astros said:
Firekitten said:
The logic is that we don’t know who tf is aw/w pair RN so we are lynching mafia
You don't know who is a w/w pair, yet have several w/v? How does that make sense.


Your pair is probably a v/w pair lol
Feb 17, 2019 7:57 AM

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...Uh quick thing if Gwen flips Town then it would not surprise me if Mesk/Litten is a thing.
Feb 17, 2019 7:57 AM

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ScarletCelestial said:
Seshmaster said:
All he's done is ask where Geyde went, and when I asked him to convince me he was town, say "I'm town, the towniest town to ever town" and that's that.


Wow that is... not good. Kinda weird that he hasn't tried bargaining with you yet if he is scum, though?

That’s his meta as scum is to not post at all
Feb 17, 2019 7:58 AM

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ScarletCelestial said:
...Uh quick thing if Gwen flips Town then it would not surprise me if Mesk/Litten is a thing.

I’m literally saying Vote mesk tomorrow
Feb 17, 2019 7:58 AM

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DenjaX said:
Firekitten said:

Because we are pretty much sure Gwen is mafia wait your turn
So you guys would rather lynch 1 mafia than lynching 2 mafias at once? What is going on with this logic?


Denja, in trying to get yourself killed I think it may adequately suggest you're not scum. You're literally provoking people to vote you.
Feb 17, 2019 7:59 AM

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There seems to be a collective agreement on gwen being mafia here.

I wonder if this lynch can help us associate or progress with other parties?

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Feb 17, 2019 7:59 AM

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Are we at gamesolve already?

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Feb 17, 2019 8:00 AM

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Icibalus said:
Your pair is probably a v/w pair lol
With how others are coming to that conclusion. Your pair is just as likely a v/w pair as well.
Feb 17, 2019 8:00 AM

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Astros said:
Firekitten said:
The logic is that we don’t know who tf is aw/w pair RN so we are lynching mafia
You don't know who is a w/w pair, yet have several w/v? How does that make sense.


Dude, it's possible there's no M/M but there is definitely M/T out there. By Townreading people it removes possible M/M pairs, and Litten has arrived at the conclusion that there are possible M/T pairs, whilst they can't find an M/M one.

Hence why they're happy with their vote. Your logic feels so stupid right now.
Feb 17, 2019 8:01 AM

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ScarletCelestial said:
Astros said:
You don't know who is a w/w pair, yet have several w/v? How does that make sense.


Dude, it's possible there's no M/M but there is definitely M/T out there. By Townreading people it removes possible M/M pairs, and Litten has arrived at the conclusion that there are possible M/T pairs, whilst they can't find an M/M one.

Hence why they're happy with their vote. Your logic feels so stupid right now.

Yeah I’m getting frustrated with everyone’s logic in the last ten minutes
Feb 17, 2019 8:02 AM

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Firekitten said:
ScarletCelestial said:


Wow that is... not good. Kinda weird that he hasn't tried bargaining with you yet if he is scum, though?

That’s his meta as scum is to not post at all


Yeah, and he hasn't. But I'm thinking that as scum, he'd at least try and bargain with his partner in the lover chat? Might be wrong on this point, but it sounds logical to me.
Feb 17, 2019 8:02 AM

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Actually Mesk sounds illogical so my logic may not actually work.
Feb 17, 2019 8:02 AM

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ScarletCelestial said:
Firekitten said:

That’s his meta as scum is to not post at all


Yeah, and he hasn't. But I'm thinking that as scum, he'd at least try and bargain with his partner in the lover chat? Might be wrong on this point, but it sounds logical to me.

You are wrong on this post you don’t know hjaisk at all.
Feb 17, 2019 8:02 AM

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ScarletCelestial said:
Actually Mesk sounds illogical so my logic may not actually work.

There you go
Feb 17, 2019 8:02 AM

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Firekitten said:
ScarletCelestial said:
...Uh quick thing if Gwen flips Town then it would not surprise me if Mesk/Litten is a thing.

I’m literally saying Vote mesk tomorrow


Oops. Sorry.
Feb 17, 2019 8:03 AM

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ScarletCelestial said:
Your logic feels so stupid right now.
The fact you see my question as logic says it all.
Feb 17, 2019 8:04 AM

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Last thing before I go for a while:

DOES ANYBODY (besides the idiot thief) NOT WANT GWEN DEAD?
Feb 17, 2019 8:04 AM

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Astros said:
ScarletCelestial said:
Your logic feels so stupid right now.
The fact you see my question as logic says it all.


wut
Feb 17, 2019 8:05 AM

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Okay, here's why Gwen is the best lynch.

1. He's wolf lol
2. Although Astros is fairly obvious village, making it a v/w lynch, v/w lynches are objectively unavoidable here. We don't have an obvious w/w pair so we should just lynch wolves.
3. If we lynch a v/w pair today, and another v/w pair later on, we can theoretically get an easy PoE by semi-eliminating all pairs with a solid village read in them. This, I argue, is not a breaking strategy but it certainly makes our D3/4 reads more accurate.

Feb 17, 2019 8:05 AM

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Astros said:
ScarletCelestial said:
Your logic feels so stupid right now.
The fact you see my question as logic says it all.
question for you: do you think gwen is town? if not, Are you willing to sack of rice yourself to help town win?

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Feb 17, 2019 8:06 AM

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I kind of regret bringing up the whole w/w pair PoE thing, because now people have gotten the point where we aren't just lynching Gwen because he's wolf.
Feb 17, 2019 8:08 AM

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Icibalus said:

That's impossible. I repeat, ALBERTINODIAS HAS CONFIRMED THERE IS AT LEAST ONE W/V PAIR
Okay, i stand corrected. I just have confirmation from the mod as well. Seems to be a special win for any surviving lovers regardless on which alignment won. xDD

Tho it is best to think about the worst case scenario which is 4 w/v pair. It will prevent disappointments that way.

I also got my role now. lets do this.

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Feb 17, 2019 8:08 AM

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YOU MEAN I LITERALLY HAVE TO READ ALL THEIR PREVIOUS POSTS AS NAI WHEN I WAS THINKING THEY ARE A VILLAGER

AHHHHHH
Feb 17, 2019 8:09 AM

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Firekitten said:
YOU MEAN I LITERALLY HAVE TO READ ALL THEIR PREVIOUS POSTS AS NAI WHEN I WAS THINKING THEY ARE A VILLAGER

AHHHHHH


welcome to mafia, how can we help you
Feb 17, 2019 8:09 AM

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@Awesome5000 oi you just posted in discord. SHOW YOURSELF

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Feb 17, 2019 8:09 AM

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DenjaX said:
question for you: do you think gwen is town? if not, Are you willing to sack of rice yourself to help town win?
I'm unsure. They haven't been around in the chat enough for me to form a solid read. But so far I disagree with the reasons for suspecting her, as most of what I've seen seems to be "because she's scummy.". If I find her to be Mafia, I would rice myself.
Feb 17, 2019 8:09 AM

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DenjaX said:
@Awesome5000 oi you just posted in discord. SHOW YOURSELF

How many times has he posted in your chat
Feb 17, 2019 8:10 AM

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Astros said:
DenjaX said:
question for you: do you think gwen is town? if not, Are you willing to sack of rice yourself to help town win?
I'm unsure. They haven't been around in the chat enough for me to form a solid read. But so far I disagree with the reasons for suspecting her, as most of what I've seen seems to be "because she's scummy.". If I find her to be Mafia, I would rice myself.

Do you have any better idea on who to lynch
Feb 17, 2019 8:10 AM

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Astros said:
DenjaX said:
question for you: do you think gwen is town? if not, Are you willing to sack of rice yourself to help town win?
I'm unsure. They haven't been around in the chat enough for me to form a solid read. But so far I disagree with the reasons for suspecting her, as most of what I've seen seems to be "because she's scummy.". If I find her to be Mafia, I would rice myself.


How about their posts often having little point and feeling like they were just thrown out for the sake of being thrown out or for credit?

Or for the fact that they just have a really awful tone?
Feb 17, 2019 8:12 AM

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I want anyone to read Gwen post and give me one good reason you town read them.
Feb 17, 2019 8:14 AM

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Icibalus said:
How about their posts often having little point and feeling like they were just thrown out for the sake of being thrown out or for credit?

Or for the fact that they just have a really awful tone?
I've seen worse from Town. Much worse.

Firekitten said:
Do you have any better idea on who to lynch
Yes. No one. D1 does not require a lynch.
Feb 17, 2019 8:15 AM

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Astros said:
Icibalus said:
How about their posts often having little point and feeling like they were just thrown out for the sake of being thrown out or for credit?

Or for the fact that they just have a really awful tone?
I've seen worse from Town. Much worse.

Firekitten said:
Do you have any better idea on who to lynch
Yes. No one. D1 does not require a lynch.


You can't say that wolfy people aren't wolfy just because you've seen a villager do wolfy things before.

And I'm amazed you don't know that it's always best to lynch D1. Period.
Feb 17, 2019 8:15 AM

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Astros said:
Icibalus said:
How about their posts often having little point and feeling like they were just thrown out for the sake of being thrown out or for credit?

Or for the fact that they just have a really awful tone?
I've seen worse from Town. Much worse.

Firekitten said:
Do you have any better idea on who to lynch
Yes. No one. D1 does not require a lynch.

We are lynching today and you can’t stop me
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