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Political Science Professor: Odds Of President Trump Range BETWEEN 97% AND 99%

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Feb 25, 2016 2:20 PM
#1

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Jan 2016
30
http://dailycaller.com/2016/02/24/political-science-professor-odds-of-president-trump-range-between-97-and-99/

"A political science professor who claims his statistical model has correctly predicted the results of every election in the last 104 years has forecast that the odds of Donald Trump becoming America’s next president currently range from 97 percent to 99 percent.

The professor is Helmut Norpoth of Stony Brook University, reports The Statesman, the campus newspaper at the public bastion on New York’s Long Island.

Specifically, Norpoth predicts that Trump has a 97 percent chance of beating Hillary Clinton and a 99 percent chance of beating Bernie Sanders."

Click the article for more.

Say it with me: PRESIDENT TRUMP

WE WILL LIVE TO SEE THE GREATEST PRESIDENT IN US HISTORY
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Feb 25, 2016 2:29 PM
#2

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Jan 2009
92452
lets wait for the actual election lol
if the Democrats lose its just because of few people voting again like what happened on previous elections
Feb 25, 2016 2:30 PM
#3

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Nov 2008
27788
Not if Sanders gets the nomination.


Feb 25, 2016 2:37 PM
#4

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Mar 2012
17649
Prof: Odds of more people reading my research range between 97% and 99%
LoneWolf said:
@Josh makes me sad to call myself Canadian.
Feb 25, 2016 2:43 PM
#5
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Jul 2018
564612
Hm. We'll see, Prof. I'm almost convinced he'll take the Rep. nomination but the general election is a different story.
Feb 25, 2016 2:45 PM
#6

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Dec 2015
812
LOK, KAY 97 AND 99% CHANCE K

This prof knows his stuff.
Feb 25, 2016 3:58 PM
#7

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Nov 2009
14588
How on Earth has "his model" predicted the results over 104 years? Looking at past election's results as being indicative of some "model for predicting results of an election" means absolutely nothing. A president's success (or lack thereof) is heavily reliant on the era.

The biggest problem I can see with his model is that it "dings points" off of the political party that had previously held the office for the last two terms. This has been true with Clinton --> Bush --> Obama, however considering Clinton and Bush's stints in office, this shouldn't be a fucking surprise. The thought is that independents will more likely align with the party that has not been in power, and will be the "tie breaker", however people like Trump / Sanders are so far off the spectrum you really can't accurately gauge how well that will do with those undecided.
Feb 25, 2016 4:03 PM
#8
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Apr 2015
83
Go TRUMP Last Hope for America!!! XD
Feb 25, 2016 5:08 PM

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Oct 2013
1315
welp it's settled then
Feb 25, 2016 5:18 PM
Feb 25, 2016 5:52 PM

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Apr 2015
3453
99% sure that if Trump wins, Russia and China will celebrate.
#CHEXIT
Mar 3, 2016 10:19 PM
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Sep 2015
150
Oh, shit, no! Please, why Trump's gonna win?
Mar 3, 2016 11:00 PM

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Sep 2011
425
That's why the mainstream media should just shut the fuck up about Trump, then people will stop supporting him.
No way to recall
What it was that you had said to me
Like I care at all
But it was so loud
And you sure could yell
You took a stand on every little thing
And it was so loud
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It’s time to ditch the text file.
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