Guys, I will be telling my opinion about the possibility of Season 3 and some obstacles from making it.
Theory 1
J.C Staff now "delay" Index 3 ~not only~ for 2 years; but almost 5 years this April 2016. (ACMI2 is Aired Oct 8, 2010 to Apr 1, 2011).
WHY?
Ahh these my (study of stories/rumor) to answer (point of about) Season III:
"In that time" (2013) after Railgun S OVA is finish" J.C Staff & Co has no more money (and they think is no benefits) to continue Toaru Series so they delay it
BECAUSE OF THIS TWO PEOPLE
* Tatsuyuki Nagai (director) said he waste a lot a money for Toaru Kagaku no Railgun S more or less ¥24.000.000 / 24 chapter anime, cause (in that time) production (2013) & they using brand new CGI animator systems so that (Railgun S) seen more lively beautiful than ever J.C Staff has produced.(Characters hair can swell)
* Nobuhiro Nakayama (producer) said:
We don't want to do anymore To Aru anime because:
They have already served the purpose of boosting LN books / manga sale. And has no benefits to make new To Aru anime series. (cause anime trend is declining)
- And We cannot debate it.
He's speaking like true businessman (and it is always about the money).
* Although Raildex is very good and famous anime, J.C Staff "has habit" to be anime studio who can't make/focus in continues anime (etc like Naruto Shippuden or Detective Conan) as many as (we hope) to have 9-10 seasons or still airing.
Recently when we (fans) ask for Season III (Toaru Anime) Kazuma Miki (as depute the author) said: "Toaru Series is never fade,..(as franchise) and it's not only about anime ,..."
- He (is only LN editor) and has no bargaining position to be anime bussiness and he has no participation in any of To Aru anime,..
So we ask wrong person ?.
- On where we should have to ask ? [J.C Staff Project Index & Railgun]
Credit to
-Fremea Seivelun
Theory 2
To Aru Majutsu no Index (2008) Sale - 12,127 discs
To Aru Kagaku no Railgun (2009) Sale - 24,495 discs
To Aru Majutsu no Index II (2010) Sale - 16,994 discs
To Aru Kagaku no Railgun S (2013) Sale - 16,664 discs
*Number can have uncertainties
In order to make a profit from about 24 episodes anime, the sale need to be more than 3,000. On average, the studio will make a new season of the anime if the sale is about 3000-10,000. However, some anime that has sale around 1000-3000 sales and it can still boost the sale of manga and light novel since it is the another purpose of making anime. If you look closely at the sale of Toaru series, all of the seasons are over 10,000, which means that there are HUGE profits for J.C. Staff. Then, WHY is there no Season 3? I will be explaining by using my opinion.
Index Season 1 sale is 12,127, which is high although J.C. Staff didn't put much effort into it. This made them decided to make Railgun next, which the sale is 24,495. J.C. made this MASSIVE profit from Railgun season 1, so they decided to produced Index Season 2 RIGHT AWAY without thinking carefully. Index season 2 is a mistake by J.C. because most of the staffs in the studio didn't even read the Light novel yet, then how can they make a high quality anime?, but the sale is still 16,994 which is still high but less than Railgun season 1. This make J.C. Staff stop producing Toaru series for 2 full years. Until Railgun S came, which the quality of the animations and pictures are as high as The Movie, but the sale is still less than Railgun season 1 and EVEN LOWER than Index II.
To conclude, the sale is very high for all seasons but if we compare each seasons of To Aru, the sales are dropping since Railgun season 1 which can be the reason why J.C. stop making it.
The sale of To Aru Majutsu no Index The Movie : Endymion no Kiseki is 42,566, although there are more than 103,000 people watching in theater.
The sale of Heavy Obbject first volume is 1000, if the rest are still this much sale then they will lose profit A LOT.
Another possible reasons of high sales is Kamachi-san had included 8 pieces of special light novel series in the animation, which can be only found by buying the CDs.
Anyways, for Index III, if there are not any news this October, then the chance of happening would be hard. It is even easier to remake the whole new series in my opinion.
Credit : http://www.anime-th.com/best-selling-tv-anime-all-time/ and Thai Toaru FB page |